Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1.836982 2.095688 2.379690 2.714909 3.100182 3.529608 4.045225
2025-09-21 1.461435 1.799546 2.201344 2.715263 3.356964 4.134162 5.150505
2025-09-28 1.163406 1.526279 1.986933 2.617232 3.461386 4.558750 6.102971
2025-10-05 1.028835 1.426904 1.962470 2.740403 3.849481 5.385754 7.695859
2025-10-12 0.929200 1.353527 1.954544 2.875264 4.263466 6.299525 9.550924
2025-10-19 0.830313 1.263155 1.904843 2.935669 4.569842 7.093381 11.349075
2025-10-26 0.747884 1.183273 1.855960 2.984294 4.856994 7.888980 13.266213
2025-11-02 0.653594 1.070806 1.739582 2.905601 4.922292 8.329868 14.655785
2025-11-09 0.562459 0.950852 1.594424 2.756441 4.842825 8.508023 15.602841
2025-11-16 0.507549 0.884294 1.528824 2.732606 4.973875 9.063174 17.309500
2025-11-23 0.455944 0.816879 1.452934 2.678886 5.040148 9.504087 18.859304
2025-11-30 0.437130 0.805581 1.474645 2.806123 5.460754 10.664764 22.010682
2025-12-07 0.409686 0.776244 1.461825 2.869984 5.775318 11.680189 25.072769
2025-12-14 0.375733 0.730606 1.412936 2.856631 5.932934 12.402277 27.635404
2025-12-21 0.335105 0.667238 1.322223 2.746378 5.872613 12.657603 29.199355
2025-12-28 0.323246 0.660220 1.343097 2.872227 6.338596 14.123698 33.836521
2026-01-04 0.313341 0.655982 1.368953 3.011889 6.855133 15.781090 39.241251
2026-01-11 0.297259 0.636739 1.360723 3.074233 7.202125 17.095670 44.028218
2026-01-18 0.281609 0.616621 1.348156 3.124702 7.527680 18.407154 49.052129
2026-01-25 0.257411 0.574804 1.282656 3.041820 7.514344 18.873328 51.871761
2026-02-01 0.230560 0.524098 1.191437 2.885159 7.292779 18.771890 53.077932
2026-02-08 0.215093 0.498235 1.155160 2.860078 7.408132 19.574779 57.054705
2026-02-15 0.199071 0.469404 1.108788 2.803681 7.432730 20.136383 60.421086